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Disclaimer: Data may be delayed, incomplete or inaccurate. For education and research only. Use at your own risk. Not financial advice.

Monte Carlo Price Simulator

Simulate thousands of possible price paths and see the spread of outcomes, not just one forecast. Choose constant volatility (geometric Brownian motion) or volatility that moves on its own (the Heston model).

The starting values are an example: an FCPO-like price at 25% volatility.

Median price at the end
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5th percentile
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95th percentile
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Average
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Chance above target
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Chance of a loss
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Value at risk (95%)
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Range of paths

Median25th–75th percentile5th–95th percentileSample paths

Where prices end up

A model of uncertainty, not a forecast. Real prices have jumps, regime changes and fatter tails. Not trading advice.