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Disclaimer: Data may be delayed, incomplete or inaccurate. For education and research only. Use at your own risk. Not financial advice.

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Palm Oil Seasonality

Malaysian palm oil follows a strong yearly rhythm: output climbs to a peak around September–October and bottoms out around February. This page puts this year's MPOB numbers against the last five years, month by month, so it is easy to see what is normal for the time of year and what is not.

The latest month
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By calendar month

The shaded band is the lowest to highest of the last five years for each month.

This yearLast year5-year average5-year range

Month by month

Rank: where this year's month sits among all years since 2014 (1 = highest). Usual change: the average move from the previous month over the last five years.

MonthThis year5-year averagevs averageLast yearRank since 2014Usual change from previous month

Method

Data: MPOB monthly supply and demand, fetched automatically after each release (see the MPOB Nowcast). Domestic use is worked out from the stock balance. Stock-to-usage = end-stocks ÷ (exports + domestic use). Five-year average and range: the five full calendar years before this one. The usual change into a month is the geometric average of that month's change over the same five years; the nowcast uses the same idea for production. Seasonal patterns shift with weather, El Niño, labour and replanting, so a month outside the range is a prompt to look closer, not a forecast. Not financial advice.